The Donald - Part 11
- Vespa
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
Don still up in the polls, people shouldn't assume he'll lose. Although I'd personally find that funny.
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- lambrini
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
Yasssss
We be vibin
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
♡( ◡‿◡ )
POTY 2023 & 2022 finalist
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“The forum's saucy upstart” –Ghost
“Solid broess” –Sadact7
“Decent long termer”–Paolo
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“Decent long termer”–Paolo
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
No not assume he will lose, but I think he will
Have a look at Ziegler's "Thirteen Keys" which has predicted every POTUS election since 2000. It's all running in Biden's favour.
There is a serious question about how well the GOP can mobilise its local operations. There is quite deep unease in the bulk of GOP voters about Trump, demonstrated recently by how Hailey got 15% of the primary vote in Penn despite not being on the ballot.
The press keep confusing MAGA support and GOP support.
- Vespa
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
The press are just reporting the national polls. I don't even think the majority of the press like Don.
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
Have a look
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_ ... hite_House
Sorry it's not Ziegler, it's Lichtman but the point is that polls this early are pretty poor predictors. Then there's the complication of the electoral college vs popular vote and how well the poll captures what in effect means the need for 50 polls rather than one.
Based on popular vote we would not have had Trump or the last Bush in the White House.
There's been a lot of coverage recently about how Bush jr beat Gore on 2000. It really was a stitch-up and Gore was remarkably gracious about it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_ ... hite_House
Sorry it's not Ziegler, it's Lichtman but the point is that polls this early are pretty poor predictors. Then there's the complication of the electoral college vs popular vote and how well the poll captures what in effect means the need for 50 polls rather than one.
Based on popular vote we would not have had Trump or the last Bush in the White House.
There's been a lot of coverage recently about how Bush jr beat Gore on 2000. It really was a stitch-up and Gore was remarkably gracious about it.
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
Turns out waffling costs money.
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- theleader82
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- The Tick
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
This is what supporting drumpf does to people's minds.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/art ... ani-willis
California man charged with threatening to kill Fani Willis
The man, Marc Shultz, posted multiple comments last October under two separate YouTube livestream videos
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/art ... ani-willis
California man charged with threatening to kill Fani Willis
The man, Marc Shultz, posted multiple comments last October under two separate YouTube livestream videos
- chelseachelsea
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
a la Hillman who cares??The Tick wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 10:45 pm This is what supporting drumpf does to people's minds.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/art ... ani-willis
California man charged with threatening to kill Fani Willis
The man, Marc Shultz, posted multiple comments last October under two separate YouTube livestream videos
- The Tick
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
Those who feel compelled enough to make comment.chelseachelsea wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 11:37 pma la Hillman who cares??The Tick wrote: ↑Fri May 03, 2024 10:45 pm This is what supporting drumpf does to people's minds.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/art ... ani-willis
California man charged with threatening to kill Fani Willis
The man, Marc Shultz, posted multiple comments last October under two separate YouTube livestream videos
- Vespa
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Re: The Donald - Part 11
Hope Hicks pretty much buried Don in court. Don's defense is his lawyers for did stuff without his knowledge and she destroyed this.
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